Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.530807 1.764888 2.022396 2.326652 2.676324 3.065634 3.532042
2025-05-04 1.229964 1.542236 1.914901 2.392302 2.987717 3.706067 4.639139
2025-05-11 1.003135 1.352894 1.800826 2.416307 3.240243 4.305764 5.789938
2025-05-18 0.807244 1.161689 1.645046 2.351925 3.359637 4.745628 6.799650
2025-05-25 0.646492 0.986337 1.476725 2.235258 3.379475 5.042692 7.648589
2025-06-01 0.550956 0.886407 1.395927 2.225211 3.541920 5.554185 8.869909
2025-06-08 0.467988 0.790612 1.304308 2.180445 3.638581 5.971806 9.998340
2025-06-15 0.433203 0.765536 1.318174 2.302224 4.012423 6.867088 12.007370
2025-06-22 0.390130 0.719102 1.288841 2.345091 4.256621 7.575856 13.794799
2025-06-29 0.344216 0.660207 1.228840 2.323880 4.382654 8.092932 15.309277
2025-07-06 0.293725 0.585079 1.128823 2.214453 4.330831 8.281871 16.243982
2025-07-13 0.273733 0.565014 1.127566 2.289571 4.633303 9.156215 18.579582
2025-07-20 0.258510 0.553410 1.143286 2.404876 5.039696 10.299619 21.638375
2025-07-27 0.239194 0.530586 1.133699 2.468061 5.350991 11.299091 24.553380
2025-08-03 0.218264 0.501142 1.106356 2.490087 5.579553 12.160532 27.303278
2025-08-10 0.192558 0.457200 1.041927 2.422206 5.603935 12.594794 29.189705
2025-08-17 0.166431 0.408214 0.959358 2.301220 5.491439 12.714243 30.384159
2025-08-24 0.151268 0.382785 0.926564 2.290382 5.630337 13.412635 33.009277
2025-08-31 0.135674 0.353913 0.881655 2.244032 5.678003 13.906014 35.214844
2025-09-07 0.131654 0.353533 0.905207 2.369163 6.162029 15.495272 40.322077
2025-09-14 0.123459 0.341094 0.897158 2.413165 6.448081 16.639223 44.467674
2025-09-21 0.112816 0.320506 0.865524 2.391284 6.560715 17.363966 47.630486
2025-09-28 0.099250 0.289828 0.803281 2.278672 6.416606 17.411195 49.001650